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Brendan NH Fan

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Joined July 2022

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2007 there was no drop goal. In 1999 when France beat New Zealand in the Semi, France are remembered for all the tries they scored. at 46mins France are 24-10 down. Within 3 minutes they have kicked 2 drop goals (aren’t waiting for the penalties) and then kick 2 penalties making it 24-22 down. The French then go on to score 3 tries (what we remember) to make in 46-24 but all started because France were able to turn the tide and a kicker who could do it. Yes BB has hit DGs but they seem to be more when no pressure is on then when there is. Its easy to take a DG when you have a kickable penalty but having the ability to take a DG when you are under pressure and have no fall back is another story. Other semi of 99 was a kicking duel but a DG by both teams played key roles with pushing teams ahead. How players play for club and if they are doing DGs as part of their club will tell you if they are going to do it in big games, If Foley has that kick in SRP does he go for goal, byrne does exactly what he does for Leinster. Its fine to say if its the WC you take the draw but would NZ or OZ take the draw or would they feel a draw is kissing your sister so its their duty to go for the win (like England 2015 v Wales) because a draw would not let them top the group. In the quarters if it is tight games which 10s do we feel will hit DGs and which will try run every ball. DC took a DG in 2015 v SA does BB or RM do the same thing in the same game or do they keep trying for the tries or only do it with a pen advantage (I don’t know if DC had a pen advantage maybe he did)

The fatal flaw the Wallabies and All Blacks share

Pivac and Rennie should have a boxing style presser and have them both say that whoever loses will quit on the spot. It would add to the drama and I don’t think the losing team’s fans would be upset at losing the head man.

'We need wins': Star's blunt message to injury-ravaged Wallabies ahead of season finale

having such a bad losing run 7 from last 8 with only a few games to the world cup is not what you want in the players minds. 1 win from 2 NH tours isn’t great with the next WC like another NH tour. Also the longer you go without beating an opponent the harder it is to beat them the next time. Wales have the 6Ns as one last moral lifter but this is it for Oz and the RC will just be warm ups.

'We need wins': Star's blunt message to injury-ravaged Wallabies ahead of season finale

I am not sure if two wins against two teams missing a large chunk of first team players because outside of the window would be seen as a good result. I see this as the game that both Rennie and Pivac want all their tests to be like. Both want to use ruck as a restart for quick ball and hate the aggressive opposition who try make it a contest. This might be both teams best performance but I wonder will that because of matching styles rather than anything else. Bottom line is Oz need to beat the locals only Wales or Rennie might as well book the flight home after the quarters now. Georgia, Fiji and Wales are the first three games that will cause a bit injury list WC time, it could well be a similar team as this week that will be there in the quarters.

'We need wins': Star's blunt message to injury-ravaged Wallabies ahead of season finale

Is this not why NZ lost some many WCs when they were the best team in all the years between and at the tournament, while SA have won the same number of WCs while rarely fancied to win. SA kick goals and they will always play the percentages and in tight games that will more likely get you wins than not. Even take 2015, SA were played off the park and yet still managed to only lost by 2pts and everyone knew they just need a pen anywhere inside the opposition half and they were like to score. With the improvement in defence the run from everywhere is more risk than reward. Even the win v Ireland in I think 2012 was only after NZ got to retake the conversion they missed because if your 10 runs tries you get BB who can’t kick goals.

The fatal flaw the Wallabies and All Blacks share

When was the last time NZ kicked to the corner in the last few minutes. Against Japan with a pen that took the game into the red and winning by 4 they kicked the goal as were afraid they would lose the ball at a breakdown and run up the field and win (remember Japan needed a try to win), I can’t see any other reason for them to kick the pen other than to stop Japan any chance of getting the ball back. Against Oz maybe as they don’t have the breakdown worries but not sure NZ are that play till you can’t team anymore. Even in the game they won in Oz they had ultimately lost the ball after being unable to break down Oz and but for a bit of luck would have lost it. Running it from 5ms is alot easier than even 20m

The fatal flaw the Wallabies and All Blacks share

With the way England were playing they could have kicked the ball deep and see if NZ would run it back or kick it out. I would have backed England to have won a penalty if NZ tried to run it back and feel NZ would have kicked it out themselves. I am not sure how much the current team can run back a score from their own 22 with on errors allowed, the organised defence causes them to much problems. Its why they couldn’t score the killer try and went for the DG.

The fatal flaw the Wallabies and All Blacks share

When you spend 20+ years telling people that rugby is all about entertainment and scoring tries somehow is better than getting the same number of points from kicking. Or that running in a try is a better result than scoring via a mual. When that is all you grow up with you don’t read the best results but have it drilled in that tries are what winners do. Byrne came on for Ireland and kicked the pen as he as done loads of times for Leinster when Sexton was rested 10 games a season and he had to be forced to be a leader. Same with Smith, he knows from his 127 games with Quinns that not every ref suits his running game, some games his has had to adjust style to the ref so when it came to the game he knew what to do. How many players in the NZ and Oz squads who are under 30 have racked up that many games to build up the in the moment experince. Smith only need look at the home match v Montpelier when they had run down a big lead but didn’t win the round 16 because the ref didn’t given them what they wanted. Oz had loads of entries into the 22 in the first half but never kicked a DG even though they were going nowhere and was comfortable area to do it. On the other hand NZ kicked a DG even though 16pts ahead with a penalty advantage taking no risk because even more than two convert tries with 10 minutes to go all he had in his head was they needed to score because they struggle to score and who knew if they would get another chance. 4 years ago that would have been a free play and they would have gone for a try, if it didn’t work with that advantage they probably would have still gone for the corner. Because the NH season is longer teams need a bigger leadership group. For a team like Sarries or Toulouse who lose so many leaders during national training camps and tests they have to identify future leaders like Smith who has had to lead from a young age rather than wait for another player to retire. going off the Saders main squad might that also be why they have a bigger leadership squad as more internationals so are rested for more games.

The fatal flaw the Wallabies and All Blacks share

I think Rassie should be moved into a different role where he is not with test team but works behind the sceens like David in Ireland. He would have the capital to make whatever changes he wanted. He could also work with the URC improving refs with all his knowledge. I think the JN doesn’t have the space to swim with such a big character over him (though he might sink without him). I can only imagine what Rassie could do with helping the URC and Currie cup coaches by helping them, he definately could teach the Sharks to us their pack. It doesn’t take long for the SA public to see it as an excuse for losing (not sure if he put one out after Italy) and fans see it as Rassie not fixing the problem which was made him good because they would lose but he could tell the media why he saw progress.

The undoing of Springbok rugby: Erasmus has plenty to answer for

There is an old saying that goes something like it’s better to do a good thing well than a great thing poorly. From the outside looking in, it seems that many people in RA don’t want to embrace the Ozzie way that makes AFL and NRL successful and that is their arrogance and not caring what others think. Union either seems to be doing a poor imitation of NZ or apologizing it’s not league. I doubt the good teams either side of 2000 cared what NZ or league did.

To fix the Wallabies, we need to fix the real problems

Do we believe that NZ is back to their best. We are seeing Oz struggling to believe they can win against anyone. Do you believe that NZ believe they will beat France. SRP is not preparing either nation for the next WC and that is all that is left except the RC that is more like warmups. We will go back to running rugby where defense doesn’t compete at the ruck and teams that do will be pinged. We will see few penalties and lots of talk about players improving their displine and forwards will be talked up for their handling not needing to fight for balls. It doesn’t fix the test side’s issues. SA, Ire and Fra players will be fighting each other in league and champions Cup, they will be seeing who can out muscle who and who can out run who. The breakdown will be hard fought and even messy. SA will improve and Ireland drop back in my view but they will all finish in June well tested. WC in France will most likely have wet with mud and blood so the breakdown kings are better suited.

Northern View: Smith will regret not completing All Blacks' 'choke', Sexton truth exposed, time to silence Rassie

Tipp. Romania have been poorly managed but seem to be turning it around and focusing internally rather than bringing in players. Them, Spain and Portugal are driving each other on as only 2 can get WC spots which is why the rivalry between Spain and Rominia over the last two cycles.

From little things big things grow: when Rugby can mean so much to so many

I am not I am looking at how the teams are playing in games. Which of those teams have given up such big leads as NZ have been prone to do. France have once but managed to stay ahead just about against NZ. Home many times have NZ relinquished 14+ point leads. NZ are struggling to keep the ball when matched up front, SA and France are happy to play without the ball and Ireland can keep hold of the ball. ABs dont have the game plan to play without the ball so how do they win tight games if they are giving other teams penalties. Was the England draw down to them collapsing or the inability to score. Over 14 points ahead and they get an advantage and take a DG not a run or kick to the corner, that is a team that is worried it will lose even though 22-6 up. People talk about Smith kicking it out but that DG was to one that started the comeback for England as they knew the ABs were worried. Same in the Japan game, ahead by 4 get a penalty in the red and they took the 3 because they were afraid they would lose the ball and Japan would score and win. What is going to change for the ABs or WBs as they go off into their bubble of gentle breakdowns and poor defences, while the other top nations battle it out in the champions Cup being referred like the test side facing rush defences.

Northern View: Smith will regret not completing All Blacks' 'choke', Sexton truth exposed, time to silence Rassie

Both teams have the ability to defend and hold onto a lead and can let the opposition have the ball and still keep them out and not give away penalties or very few knowing the opposition is more likely to give away penalties in attack. If its the other way around I am not sure NZ, SA or Oz would be confident of defending for the last 5 minutes and not let anything in. SA can jackal but not sure the others would. In both Oz games when the Irish and French got the ball they made ground quickly and were happy to sit back on their lead.

Northern View: Smith will regret not completing All Blacks' 'choke', Sexton truth exposed, time to silence Rassie

You have to compare the opposition they have played. NZ played 3 teams who got a total of 0 wins v Ireland and France in the 6 Nations. Yes NZ have beaten Ireland and SA but same issues still come up that they have periods of not scoring and are not as strong defensively as the other 3 nations. Ireland, France and South Africa would not have conceded that last try as they would not have given the ball back. NZ on the other hand can’t hold onto the ball so had to get rid of it and hope to get it. Yes Ireland and France just beat SA and Oz but they did beat them while playing bad and generally not conceding in the last 10 minutes in tight games

Northern View: Smith will regret not completing All Blacks' 'choke', Sexton truth exposed, time to silence Rassie

When you replace Sexton with the Munster 3rd choice 10 because he has great potential you are going to have a drop off. Then add in that the 12 was not Henshaw or Aki and that might be why Ireland looked poor in attack. Its a good problem to have but the biggest worry of the night for both teams was WS. If he had been on in the first half it may have been a different outcome with all the ball Oz had. England was like kicking a 3 v courner, its fine to say they should of played on but if they had been pinged and lost everyone would have asked why they didn’t kick it out. It is better to draw than lose and the draw is a loss for NZ after the final 10 minute collapse, for England they will be glad to come back but know their are still problems. Wales like NZ problem is the inability to score for long periods. If people had stopped watching both games after 30mins few if any would have predicted the final score both teams racked up. Good for Georgia but Wales lost it and like Oz have a coach who doesn’t understand how international rugby differs from Club rugby.

Northern View: Smith will regret not completing All Blacks' 'choke', Sexton truth exposed, time to silence Rassie

Is the 5 game tour not there to make sure their players don’t play to much club rugby so they can come back just before the RC in 2023

The Wrap: Wallabies’ inability to win the big moments a real pain in the neck

Like all profession sports it is what feeds into it that determines what works. MRL has alot more T2 players who are not as good compared to League One in Japan or T2 in France or England. People on here have said SS players have been picked up. When the MLR first started their was a big jump in terms of fitness as more professional players but now SLAR and Super Cup allow Chile, Uruguay, Georgia, Portugal, Spain, Romania to have fully professional teams who are playing at a good enough standard. This means that an benefit the USA had is now gone. Canada have less players in top European teams which is why they have got worse. Add in that the underage level Europe is the only region that has good underage test matches allowing players to progress more. To get to the Trophy for Europe must get past 7 other teams that are stong, USA and Canada play each other to determine who gets in.

The Wrap: Wallabies’ inability to win the big moments a real pain in the neck

Unions only care about image. If it feeds the base SARU don’t care.

The Wrap: Wallabies’ inability to win the big moments a real pain in the neck

When you consider that Scotland missed a kick that would have won that game if it had go over we start to see that Oz are not comfortable with a lead at all and a much better chasing a team. When Byrne came on for Ireland there was little doubt he would miss the kick as he has loads of experience in tight games. On the other hand Oz have a kick in a similar position and they kick to the corner where they hadn’t done much all day. Even after going to the courner they spend to long maul going nowhere instead of letting the backs loose to cut up the space. Because the ball stayed in the maul a back came in wrong and gave away a penalty. At this point it does not seem to matter what team Oz play or who the ref is their discipline is bad and is costing them in every game.

The Wrap: Wallabies’ inability to win the big moments a real pain in the neck

Ireland like a winning team and are great at getting behind any team that goes on a bit of a run as the plucky underdog. Ireland have never beaten a WC host and never got past the quarterfinal of the WC. It could well be that the quarter final could involve France so double hoodoo to get past. Its good to see teams like Uruguay, Chile and Georgia be much better than 10 years ago but sadly it seems Canada, USA and Namibia are heading the other way where getting back to where they were would be a massive improvement. USA had three chances to qualify for the WC by beating Uruguay, then Chile, then Portugal but failed to get the better of any. Easy to have happen but when Europe 4th best T2 gets the better of you questions need to be asked. America 6Ns needs to happen or a Rest of the World T2 8 Nations needs to happen to mirror the 8 teams now in the European Championship. It seems like every WC another T2 nation gets past by a European T2. Nambia, Canada and now the USA seem to be below the top 3/4 European nations. Uruaguay and Chile are about Romania/Spain level and Georgia and well able to mix it with the PIs. That is a big change to 20 years ago where Romania were the only team that could match the other T2 nations.

From little things big things grow: when Rugby can mean so much to so many

One year finishing 5th. Main issue was DG was still trying to play like Munster 5 years earlier instead of moving with with the times.

EXCLUSIVE: 'I had my go' - The ex-Wallaby who drove Ireland to No.1 and why he's rejected an SOS from RA

Only when they don’t have the ball, I doubt they will get tired getting hugs off the Oz pack. Plenty speed in the game when Ireland have the ball. Sadly its one of the problems Oz has is they are struggling to dictate the speed of the game. Years ago Oz use to run teams off the field regardless of how many times they use to try slow it down. Once had the ball the only time a team was getting the chance to slow the game was walking back to halfway.

WALLABIES TEAM: Rennie makes ten changes, including a surprise at 15, leaves kryptonite on the bench

Ireland will look to slow down Oz to a crawl like Italy did where each time the player hits the deck they will be targeted. If they don’t have a 9 that gets it out fast I can’t see how they win. White for 80 might be best

WALLABIES TEAM: Rennie makes ten changes, including a surprise at 15, leaves kryptonite on the bench

No point bringing WS off the bench when 20 down after two maul tries and breakdown penalties given away. Why use an OS pick if he get just over 100mins in 3 games. Good enough team but feel the lack of SW at the breakdown may result slow Oz ball and a team just kicking possession back.

WALLABIES TEAM: Rennie makes ten changes, including a surprise at 15, leaves kryptonite on the bench

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